Conf = Big East State = DC
Nickname = Hoyas Coach = Ricky FriedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.7567139 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A American Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, 85.1) 18-13 214 A Towson Colonial ( 7- 9, 89.8) 13- 5 217 H Rutgers Big Ten ( 8-10, 93.3) 6-13 223 H Harvard Ivy League (10- 5, 94.6) 4-20 228 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (12- 8, 95.8) 9-10 302 H Delaware Colonial (10- 6, 89.2) 11-13 306 H Loyola (MD) Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 97.4) 5-17 312 N Penn Ivy League (15- 5, 97.6) 4-14 316 A Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, 88.3) 10-14 320 H Maryland Big Ten (14- 6, 97.0) 7-13 323 A Villanova Big East ( 7- 9, 88.1) 8- 6 329 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 96.2) 10-11 403 H Xavier Big East ( 4-11, 80.3) 16- 5 406 A Butler Big East ( 2-14, 82.2) 18-10 413 A Marquette Big East ( 6-11, 87.4) 18-11 420 A Monmouth (NJ) Colonial ( 6-10, 86.6) 18- 7 427 H Connecticut Big East (11- 7, 92.2) 8- 9 502 N Connecticut Big East (11- 7, 92.2) 11-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A American 18-13 5 4 0.11 214 A Towson 13- 5 8 0 +++ 6.80 217 H Rutgers 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.42 223 H Harvard 4-20 -16 -2 -- -4.18 228 A Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.84 302 H Delaware 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.53 306 H Loyola (MD) 5-17 -12 -5 -1.35 312 N Penn 4-14 -10 -6 -0.28 316 A Lehigh 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.68 320 H Maryland 7-13 -6 -5 -0.73 323 A Villanova 8- 6 2 1 0.11 329 H Denver 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.44 403 H Xavier 16- 5 11 11 0.00 406 A Butler 18-10 8 7 0.00 413 A Marquette 18-11 7 2 ++ 4.46 420 A Monmouth (NJ) 18- 7 11 3 + 3.63 427 H Connecticut 8- 9 -1 0 -0.57 502 N Connecticut 11-13 -2 -1 -0.67UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Rutgers 6-13 -7 -1 -- -5.42 223 H Harvard 4-20 -16 -2 -- -4.18 302 H Delaware 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.53 316 A Lehigh 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.68OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Towson 13- 5 8 0 +++ 6.80 228 A Johns Hopkins 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.84 413 A Marquette 18-11 7 2 ++ 4.46 329 H Denver 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.44 420 A Monmouth (NJ) 18- 7 11 3 + 3.63
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.86 Power Rank................. 40 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 78.90 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 31 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6146 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 51 RPI Rating............... .4927 RPI Rank................... 64 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 66 Selection sum ........... 196 Selection Rank ............ 62 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -175. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 81 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -175. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 81 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.7